Barry
3 - 1
Caernarfon

McLaggon (38', 62'), McDonald (55')
Cummings (10'), Green (45'), Cotterill (45+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hayes (66')
(33')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Barry Town United and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barry Town United would win this match.

Result
Barry Town United	Draw	Caernarfon Town
38.89%	25.05%	36.06%

Both teams to score 57.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.05%

45.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.74%

68.26%

Barry Town United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.6%

23.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.61%

57.39%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.08%

24.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.46%

59.54%

Score Analysis

Barry Town United 38.89%

Caernarfon Town 36.06%

Draw 25.04%

Barry Town United	Draw	Caernarfon Town
2-1 @ 8.55% 1-0 @ 8.47% 2-0 @ 6.15% 3-1 @ 4.14% 3-0 @ 2.98% 3-2 @ 2.88% 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.08% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.1% Total : 38.89%	1-1 @ 11.76% 2-2 @ 5.94% 0-0 @ 5.83% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.04%	1-2 @ 8.18% 0-1 @ 8.1% 0-2 @ 5.63% 1-3 @ 3.79% 2-3 @ 2.75% 0-3 @ 2.61% 1-4 @ 1.32% 2-4 @ 0.96% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.83% Total : 36.06%