Caernarfon
2 - 0
Haverfordwest

Gosset (74'), Jones (90+4')
Hughes (32'), Simpson (42'), Thomas (66')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Shepherd (59'), Jones (72'), Summerfield (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Haverfordwest County.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.38%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon Town	Draw	Haverfordwest County
40.18%	23.13%	36.69%

Both teams to score 64.75%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.41%

36.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.26%

58.74%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.27%

18.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.9%

50.1%

Haverfordwest County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.66%

20.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.27%

52.73%

Score Analysis

Caernarfon Town 40.18%

Haverfordwest County 36.69%

Draw 23.13%

Caernarfon Town	Draw	Haverfordwest County
2-1 @ 8.51% 1-0 @ 6.38% 2-0 @ 5.34% 3-1 @ 4.75% 3-2 @ 3.79% 3-0 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 1.99% 4-2 @ 1.59% 4-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.6% Total : 40.18%	1-1 @ 10.16% 2-2 @ 6.78% 0-0 @ 3.81% 3-3 @ 2.01% Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.13%	1-2 @ 8.09% 0-1 @ 6.07% 0-2 @ 4.83% 1-3 @ 4.3% 2-3 @ 3.6% 0-3 @ 2.56% 1-4 @ 1.71% 2-4 @ 1.43% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.07% Total : 36.69%