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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
May 8, 2021 at 5.15pm UK
Deeside Stadium

Connah's Quay
4 - 0
Caernarfon

Insall (10'), Williams (69'), Morris (77', 90+2')
Wilde (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hayes (77'), Mendes (83')
Brass (67')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 61.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 16.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawCaernarfon Town
61.51%21.65%16.84%
Both teams to score 50.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.22%46.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.96%69.05%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.31%14.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.13%42.87%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.89%41.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.35%77.66%
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 61.5%
    Caernarfon Town 16.84%
    Draw 21.64%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawCaernarfon Town
1-0 @ 11.58%
2-0 @ 11.1%
2-1 @ 9.87%
3-0 @ 7.1%
3-1 @ 6.31%
4-0 @ 3.41%
4-1 @ 3.03%
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-2 @ 1.35%
5-0 @ 1.31%
5-1 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 61.5%
1-1 @ 10.29%
0-0 @ 6.04%
2-2 @ 4.39%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 21.64%
0-1 @ 5.37%
1-2 @ 4.58%
0-2 @ 2.39%
1-3 @ 1.36%
2-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 16.84%

Head to Head
Apr 13, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Caernarfon
1-6
Connah's Quay
Bickerstaff (24')
Edwards (31')
Poole (16'), Wilde (32'), Jones (54' og.), Davies (73', 90'), Horan (79')
Nov 13, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Caernarfon
1-2
Connah's Quay
Edwards (55')
Hayes (33'), (86'), (90+8')
Bradley (90+4')
Wilde (75'), Morris (90+2' pen.)
(76'), (85')
Brass (90+9'), Roberts (90+9')
Oct 6, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Connah's Quay
3-1
Caernarfon
Farquharson (46', 79'), Wilde (52')
Curran (65')
Jones (19')
Williams (63')
Mar 28, 2020 2.30pm
Feb 14, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Connah's Quay
4-0
Caernarfon
Horan (2', 23'), Curran (76'), Bakare (84')
(59')

Craig (8'), (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont19134237132443
2The New SaintsNew Saints19140555243142
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest199642291333
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU209473025531
5Bala TownBala Town2061132619729
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon208483035-528
7Barry Town UnitedBarry208483137-628
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay1975731211026
9Newtown AFCNewtown1954102240-1819
10Briton Ferry1952122639-1317
11Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2052132544-1917
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2042141746-2914


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