Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 62.4%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Barry Town United had a probability of 17.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 0-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Barry Town United win it was 2-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.
