Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.