Connah's Quay1 - 0Aberystwyth
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 55.68%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 20.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.
Result | ||
Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
55.68% | 23.98% | 20.34% |
Both teams to score 49.26% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.73% | 51.27% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.89% | 73.1% |
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.72% | 18.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.66% | 49.34% |
Aberystwyth Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.27% | 39.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.6% | 76.4% |
Score Analysis |
Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
1-0 @ 12.33% 2-0 @ 10.48% 2-1 @ 9.68% 3-0 @ 5.94% 3-1 @ 5.49% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-0 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 2.33% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.28% Total : 55.66% | 1-1 @ 11.39% 0-0 @ 7.26% 2-2 @ 4.47% Other @ 0.86% Total : 23.98% | 0-1 @ 6.7% 1-2 @ 5.26% 0-2 @ 3.09% 1-3 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.38% 0-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.34% Total : 20.34% |
Bakare (41'), Poole (72'), Brass (78')
Horan (59')
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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