Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 9
Sep 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval
Caernarfon0 - 2Connah's Quay
Donohue (50'), Hughes (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stratulis (70'), Edwards (90+1')
Nash (33'), Franklin (87'), Wilde (89')
Nash (33'), Franklin (87'), Wilde (89')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Connah's Quay Nomads.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Clyde 1-0 Caernarfon
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Goals
for
for
13
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-0 Pontypridd
Saturday, September 24 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, September 24 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 20.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-0 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
20.81% ( 0.56) | 22.67% ( -0.05) | 56.51% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 54.02% ( 1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
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