Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 67.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 14.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 2-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
