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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 10
Oct 23, 2021 at 5.15pm UK
Latham Park

Newtown
1 - 0
Caernarfon

Mwandwe (45+2')
Roberts (45'), (88'), Jones (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hughes (40'), Edwards (42'), John Williams (58'), Jones (88'), Evans (90+1')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 53.52%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawCaernarfon Town
53.52%22.52%23.96%
Both teams to score 58.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.11%40.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.72%63.28%
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.71%15.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.99%44%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.48%30.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.25%66.74%
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 53.52%
    Caernarfon Town 23.96%
    Draw 22.52%
Newtown AFCDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.77%
1-0 @ 8.76%
2-0 @ 8.23%
3-1 @ 6.11%
3-0 @ 5.15%
3-2 @ 3.63%
4-1 @ 2.87%
4-0 @ 2.42%
4-2 @ 1.7%
5-1 @ 1.08%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 53.52%
1-1 @ 10.4%
2-2 @ 5.8%
0-0 @ 4.67%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.52%
1-2 @ 6.17%
0-1 @ 5.54%
0-2 @ 3.29%
1-3 @ 2.44%
2-3 @ 2.29%
0-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 23.96%

Head to Head
Aug 27, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Caernarfon
0-2
Newtown

Edwards (24'), (82'), Jones (84')
Evans (34')
Evans (52'), Williams (85')
(24')
May 29, 2021 12pm
Caernarfon
3-5
Newtown
Kenny (18'), Thomas (59', 73')
Kenny (9'), Cleworth (76'), (84')
Rushton (39' pen.), Mwandwe (44'), Davies (76', 80', 82')
Mills-Evans (45+5'), Williams (90')
Dec 18, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Caernarfon
1-1
Newtown
Bradley (34')
Williams (13'), Mendes (59'), Hayes (77'), Bradley (90+4')
Breese (84')
O'Neill (31')
Sep 15, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Newtown
2-3
Caernarfon
Davies (30', 51')
Rushton (16'), Edwards (39'), Phillips (45+2')
Mendes (45+3'), Bradley (59'), Edwards (79')
Thomas (66'), Brookwell (70'), Williams (89')
Apr 17, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Newtown
P-P
Caernarfon
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont19134237132443
2The New SaintsNew Saints19140555243142
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest199642291333
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU209473025531
5Bala TownBala Town2061132619729
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon208483035-528
7Barry Town UnitedBarry208483137-628
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay1975731211026
9Newtown AFCNewtown1954102240-1819
10Briton Ferry1952122639-1317
11Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2052132544-1917
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2042141746-2914
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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