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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 10
Oct 23, 2021 at 5.15pm UK
Latham Park

Newtown
1 - 0
Caernarfon

Mwandwe (45+2')
Roberts (45'), (88'), Jones (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hughes (40'), Edwards (42'), John Williams (58'), Jones (88'), Evans (90+1')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 53.52%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawCaernarfon Town
53.52%22.52%23.96%
Both teams to score 58.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.11%40.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.72%63.28%
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.71%15.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.99%44%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.48%30.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.25%66.74%
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 53.52%
    Caernarfon Town 23.96%
    Draw 22.52%
Newtown AFCDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.77%
1-0 @ 8.76%
2-0 @ 8.23%
3-1 @ 6.11%
3-0 @ 5.15%
3-2 @ 3.63%
4-1 @ 2.87%
4-0 @ 2.42%
4-2 @ 1.7%
5-1 @ 1.08%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 53.52%
1-1 @ 10.4%
2-2 @ 5.8%
0-0 @ 4.67%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.52%
1-2 @ 6.17%
0-1 @ 5.54%
0-2 @ 3.29%
1-3 @ 2.44%
2-3 @ 2.29%
0-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 23.96%

Head to Head
Aug 27, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Caernarfon
0-2
Newtown

Edwards (24'), (82'), Jones (84')
Evans (34')
Evans (52'), Williams (85')
(24')
May 29, 2021 12pm
Caernarfon
3-5
Newtown
Kenny (18'), Thomas (59', 73')
Kenny (9'), Cleworth (76'), (84')
Rushton (39' pen.), Mwandwe (44'), Davies (76', 80', 82')
Mills-Evans (45+5'), Williams (90')
Dec 18, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Caernarfon
1-1
Newtown
Bradley (34')
Williams (13'), Mendes (59'), Hayes (77'), Bradley (90+4')
Breese (84')
O'Neill (31')
Sep 15, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Newtown
2-3
Caernarfon
Davies (30', 51')
Rushton (16'), Edwards (39'), Phillips (45+2')
Mendes (45+3'), Bradley (59'), Edwards (79')
Thomas (66'), Brookwell (70'), Williams (89')
Apr 17, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Newtown
P-P
Caernarfon
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
OT
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9.05pm
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont17114234122237
2The New SaintsNew Saints16120445192636
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest178632081230
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU178452620628
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town1741032218422
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1742112035-1514
11Briton Ferry1632111932-1311
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1731131442-2810
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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