MX23RW : Saturday, September 28 23:42:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 15
Nov 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay
3 - 3
Caernarfon

Nash (69'), Malkin (74', 90+4')
(88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
O'Rourke (10'), Faux (50'), Marsh-Hughes (65')
Gosset (82'), O'Rourke (84'), Donohue (89'), (89')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Last Game: Pontypridd 0-5 Connah's Quay
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 0-2 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, November 5 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 78.62%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 7.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.33%) and 1-0 (10.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.73%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (2.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawCaernarfon Town
78.62% (-0.94 -0.94) 14.16% (0.558 0.56) 7.22% (0.38 0.38)
Both teams to score 43.76% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.88% (-1.228 -1.23)38.12% (1.226 1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.61% (-1.318 -1.32)60.39% (1.316 1.32)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.19% (-0.47500000000001 -0.48)7.81% (0.474 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.28% (-1.224 -1.22)27.71% (1.223 1.22)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.46% (0.172 0.17)52.53% (-0.172 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.65% (0.111 0.11)86.35% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 78.6%
    Caernarfon Town 7.22%
    Draw 14.16%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawCaernarfon Town
2-0 @ 13.33% (0.14 0.14)
3-0 @ 11.33% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-0 @ 10.45% (0.36 0.36)
2-1 @ 8.58% (0.135 0.14)
3-1 @ 7.3% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-0 @ 7.23% (-0.277 -0.28)
4-1 @ 4.65% (-0.153 -0.15)
5-0 @ 3.69% (-0.236 -0.24)
5-1 @ 2.37% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.57% (-0.141 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.041 -0.04)
6-1 @ 1.01% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 78.6%
1-1 @ 6.73% (0.265 0.27)
0-0 @ 4.1% (0.236 0.24)
2-2 @ 2.76% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 14.16%
0-1 @ 2.64% (0.165 0.17)
1-2 @ 2.17% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 7.22%

Head to Head
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
Caernarfon
0-2
Connah's Quay
Stratulis (70'), Edwards (90+1')
Nash (33')
Nov 9, 2021 7.45pm
Caernarfon
0-1
Connah's Quay

Hughes (23'), Donohue (53'), Simpson (79')
Hughes (90+2')
Eardley (68')
Harrington (64')
Aug 31, 2021 7.45pm
Connah's Quay
1-1
Caernarfon
Disney (50')
Curran (32'), Owens (70')
Thomas (28')
Hughes (45+3'), Gosset (71')
May 8, 2021 5.15pm
Connah's Quay
4-0
Caernarfon
Insall (10'), Williams (69'), Morris (77', 90+2')
Wilde (37')

Hayes (77'), Mendes (83')
Brass (67')
Apr 13, 2021 7.45pm
Caernarfon
1-6
Connah's Quay
Bickerstaff (24')
Edwards (31')
Poole (16'), Wilde (32'), Jones (54' og.), Davies (73', 90'), Horan (79')
rhs 2.0
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