Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 13
Oct 28, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside College Stadium
Connah's Quay3 - 1Newtown
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Newtown AFC.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 0-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
13
Last Game: Newtown 0-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Newtown AFC |
56.96% ( -1.39) | 23.54% ( 0.43) | 19.5% ( 0.95) |
| Both teams to score 49.28% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
