Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 19
Dec 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Ground Cae-y-Castell
Flint Town2 - 1Caernarfon
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Flint Town United and Caernarfon Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Flint Town 1-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, December 10 at 1pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, December 10 at 1pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
16
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-3 Newtown
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
26
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 53.37%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 23.64% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Flint Town United in this match.
Result | ||
Flint Town United | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
53.37% ( 0.23) | 23% ( -0.05) | 23.64% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 56.82% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.6% ( 0.04) | 43.41% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.2% ( 0.04) | 65.8% ( -0.04) |
Flint Town United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.76% ( 0.1) | 16.24% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.24% ( 0.18) | 45.76% ( -0.17) |
Caernarfon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.84% ( -0.13) | 32.17% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.35% ( -0.15) | 68.66% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Flint Town United 53.37%
Caernarfon Town 23.64%
Draw 23%
Flint Town United | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.35% Total : 53.37% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.57% Total : 23.64% |
Head to Head
Oct 14, 2022 7.45pm
Caernarfon
2-0
Flint Town
O'Rourke (82'), Wynne (86')
Edwards (36')
Edwards (36')
May 14, 2022 2pm
Caernarfon
2-1
Flint Town
Gosset (97'), Bell (120')
Edwards (22'), Donohue (44')
Edwards (22'), Donohue (44')
Dec 21, 2021 7.45pm
Flint Town
3-4
Caernarfon
Oct 12, 2021 7.45pm
Caernarfon
2-3
Flint Town
Hughes (12'), Hayes (83')
Edwards (23'), Simpson (75')
Edwards (23'), Simpson (75')
Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm
Flint Town
0-2
Caernarfon
Bratley (31'), Amis (64'), Harwood (68'), Maher (72')
Edwards (63'), Bradley (66')
Kenny (34'), Edwards (45+2')
Kenny (34'), Edwards (45+2')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-09-28 22:40:40
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 23 |
2 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 20 |
3 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 18 |
4 | Bala TownBala Town | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 16 |
5 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 15 |
6 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 15 |
7 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 14 |
8 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 13 |
9 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 8 |
10 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
11 | Briton Ferry | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 5 |
12 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 4 |
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