Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 1

Aug 13, 2023 at 5.15pm UK

Llanelian Road

Colwyn Bay
0 - 4
Caernarfon

FT(HT: 0-1)

Thomas (36'), Davies (61', 71'), Clarke (66')
Gosset (7'), Donohue (32'), Thomas (39'), Mooney (45+2'), Bradley (57'), Lloyd (89'), Lloyd (89')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Colwyn Bay and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

Last Game: Aberystwyth 3-2 Caernarfon
Saturday, April 22 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colwyn Bay win with a probability of 68.77%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 13.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colwyn Bay win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 1-0 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Colwyn Bay	Draw	Caernarfon Town
68.77% ( 0.19)	17.41% ( -0.02)	13.81% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 57.75% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.65% (

-0.36)

33.34% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.88% (

-0.41)

55.11% (

0.4)

Colwyn Bay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.19% (

-0.05)

8.81% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.79% (

-0.12)

30.2% (

0.11)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.32% (

-0.48)

36.67% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.54% (

-0.49)

73.46% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

Colwyn Bay 68.77%

Caernarfon Town 13.81%

Draw 17.41%

Colwyn Bay	Draw	Caernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 68.77%	1-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.41%	1-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.08% Total : 13.81%