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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
Mar 25, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Haverfordwest
2 - 2
Caernarfon

Wilson (10'), Patten (71')
Evans (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
John Williams (12'), Davies (74' og.)
Thomas (50'), Gosset (67'), Hughes (69')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Haverfordwest 4-0 Airbus UK
Saturday, March 18 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 0-1 Aberystwyth
Friday, March 17 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 52.18%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Haverfordwest CountyDrawCaernarfon Town
52.18% (0.095999999999997 0.1) 22.73% (-0.02 -0.02) 25.09% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 59.4% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)40.75% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.86% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)63.13% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.3% (0.033000000000001 0.03)15.7% (-0.039 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.23% (0.065999999999995 0.07)44.77% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.46% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)29.54% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.44% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)65.56% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Haverfordwest County 52.18%
    Caernarfon Town 25.09%
    Draw 22.73%
Haverfordwest CountyDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 8.59% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.95% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.98% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.91% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.65% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.77% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.27% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 52.18%
1-1 @ 10.47%
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.73%
1-2 @ 6.39% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.45% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 25.09%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 2.30pm
Caernarfon
2-1
Haverfordwest
O'Rourke (5'), Faux (70')
Donohue (48')
Wilson (57')
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Haverfordwest
0-0
Caernarfon

Shepherd (5'), Williams (33'), Rees (90+3')

Disney (12'), Holmes (32'), Horan (42'), Owens (83')
Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
Haverfordwest
1-2
Caernarfon
Jones-Thomas (68')
Rees (42'), Patten (63')
Edwards (30'), Jones (61')
Gosset (35'), Evans (45'), Edwards (64'), Ojrzynski (85')
Aug 14, 2021 5.15pm
Caernarfon
2-0
Haverfordwest
Gosset (74'), Jones (90+4')
Hughes (32'), Simpson (42'), Thomas (66')

Shepherd (59'), Jones (72'), Summerfield (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont17114234122237
2The New SaintsNew Saints16120445192636
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest178632081230
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU178452620628
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town1741032218422
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1742112035-1514
11Briton Ferry1632111932-1311
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1731131442-2810


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