MX23RW : Saturday, September 28 23:03:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 18
Jan 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Esenler Stadyumu

Airbus UK
0 - 3
Caernarfon


Edwards (3'), Peers (6'), Leblanc-Akpo (43')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Hughes (4' pen.), Faux (19'), Thomas (47')
Hughes (41')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Airbus UK Broughton and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Airbus UK Broughton

All competitions
Last Game: Airbus UK 0-2 Cardiff MU
Saturday, January 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 5-1 Caernarfon
Saturday, January 7 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 48.81%. A win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.33%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Airbus UK Broughton win was 2-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result
Airbus UK BroughtonDrawCaernarfon Town
28.57% (3.155 3.16) 22.62% (2.685 2.69) 48.81% (-5.848 -5.85)
Both teams to score 63.04% (-7.242 -7.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.65% (-10.597 -10.6)37.34% (10.59 10.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.44% (-12.392 -12.39)59.56% (12.384 12.38)
Airbus UK Broughton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.73% (-3.548 -3.55)25.27% (3.542 3.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.97% (-5.138 -5.14)60.03% (5.131 5.13)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.36% (-5.433 -5.43)15.64% (5.426 5.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.35% (-11.15 -11.15)44.65% (11.144 11.14)
Score Analysis
    Airbus UK Broughton 28.57%
    Caernarfon Town 48.81%
    Draw 22.62%
Airbus UK BroughtonDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 6.94% (1.039 1.04)
1-0 @ 5.44% (2.049 2.05)
2-0 @ 3.74% (1.154 1.15)
3-1 @ 3.18% (0.179 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.474 -0.47)
3-0 @ 1.71% (0.399 0.4)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.292 -0.29)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 28.57%
1-1 @ 10.08% (2.353 2.35)
2-2 @ 6.44% (-0.294 -0.29)
0-0 @ 3.95% (1.733 1.73)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.78 -0.78)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 22.62%
1-2 @ 9.36% (0.541 0.54)
0-1 @ 7.33% (2.27 2.27)
0-2 @ 6.8% (1.027 1.03)
1-3 @ 5.79% (-0.919 -0.92)
0-3 @ 4.21% (-0.185 -0.19)
2-3 @ 3.98% (-1.138 -1.14)
1-4 @ 2.69% (-1.14 -1.14)
0-4 @ 1.95% (-0.555 -0.56)
2-4 @ 1.85% (-1.073 -1.07)
1-5 @ 1% (-0.75 -0.75)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 48.81%

Head to Head
Sep 2, 2022 7.45pm
Caernarfon
3-1
Airbus UK
Bradley (50', 90', 90'), Hughes (76')
Cartwright (83'), Cartwright (83')
Tomassen (40')
Eyre (65')
Dec 13, 2019 7.45pm
Caernarfon
5-0
Airbus UK
Thomas (58', 71'), Bradley (66'), Smith (86'), Jones (90')
Aug 30, 2019 8pm
Airbus UK
2-3
Caernarfon
Owens (7'), Edwards (72')
Sargent (19'), Palmer (38'), Gharbaoui (46'), Phillips (54'), Owens (80')
Strong (71' og.), Thomas (79'), Breese (87')
rhs 2.0
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