Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 50.74%. A win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 26.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Haverfordwest County	Draw	Pontypridd Town AFC
50.74% ( 0.87)	23.09% ( -0.3)	26.17% ( -0.57)

Both teams to score 59.25% (

0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.56% (

0.92)

41.44% (

-0.92)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.16% (

0.93)

63.84% (

-0.93)

Haverfordwest County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.54% (

0.66)

16.46% (

-0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.84% (

1.18)

46.16% (

-1.18)

Pontypridd Town AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.92% (

0.06)

29.08% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35% (

0.07)

64.99% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Haverfordwest County 50.74%

Pontypridd Town AFC 26.17%

Draw 23.09%

Haverfordwest County	Draw	Pontypridd Town AFC
2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.37% Total : 50.74%	1-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.09%	1-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.36% Total : 26.17%