Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 18

Dec 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
4 - 2
Pontypridd

Robles (4', 40', 88'), Williams (15' pen.)
Williams (18'), Hughes (78'), Cowans (86')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Ahmun (13', 90+1')
Vincent (59'), Ahmun (83')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Pontypridd United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

All competitions

Last Game: Newtown 2-0 Haverfordwest
Sunday, December 11 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Pontypridd Town AFC

All competitions

Last Game: Pontypridd 0-1 Cardiff MU
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Pontypridd Town AFC win was 0-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFC	Draw	Pontypridd Town AFC
46.74% ( -0.03)	24.51% ( 0.02)	28.75% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 56.53% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.02% (

-0.06)

45.98% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.71% (

-0.06)

68.29% (

0.06)

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.23% (

-0.04)

19.77% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.19% (

-0.06)

51.81% (

0.06)

Pontypridd Town AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.46% (

-0.02)

29.54% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.44% (

-0.02)

65.56% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Newtown AFC 46.74%

Pontypridd Town AFC 28.75%

Draw 24.51%

Newtown AFC	Draw	Pontypridd Town AFC
1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.67% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 46.74%	1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.51%	0-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0) Other @ 3.31% Total : 28.75%