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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 15
Nov 18, 2022 at 8pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
2 - 1
Pontypridd

Evans (4', 32')
Thorn (22'), Bradford (45+2'), Davies (71')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Green (31')
Green (83'), Woodiwiss (90+3'), Evans (90+4')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Pontypridd United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bala Town 3-0 Aberystwyth
Friday, November 4 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pontypridd 0-5 Connah's Quay
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawPontypridd Town AFC
36.1% (0.73099999999999 0.73) 25.15% (0.292 0.29) 38.75% (-1.022 -1.02)
Both teams to score 57.17% (-0.944 -0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.61% (-1.262 -1.26)46.39% (1.265 1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.32% (-1.2 -1.2)68.68% (1.202 1.2)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.9% (-0.176 -0.18)25.1% (0.177 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.2% (-0.245 -0.25)59.8% (0.246 0.25)
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.33% (-1.078 -1.08)23.67% (1.08 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.22% (-1.579 -1.58)57.78% (1.582 1.58)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 36.1%
    Pontypridd Town AFC 38.75%
    Draw 25.14%
Aberystwyth TownDrawPontypridd Town AFC
1-0 @ 8.21% (0.391 0.39)
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
2-0 @ 5.68% (0.242 0.24)
3-1 @ 3.77% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.62% (0.098 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.3% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.9% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 36.1%
1-1 @ 11.83% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 5.94% (0.311 0.31)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.14%
0-1 @ 8.56% (0.186 0.19)
1-2 @ 8.53% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-2 @ 6.17% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.1% (-0.197 -0.2)
0-3 @ 2.96% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.152 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-4 @ 1.07% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 38.75%

Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm
Pontypridd
2-1
Aberystwyth
Jones (26'), Ahmun (75')
Green (58')
Darlington (86')
rhs 2.0
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