Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 47.39%. A win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 28.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Pontypridd Town AFC win was 2-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.

Result
Pontypridd Town AFC	Draw	Pen-y-Bont
28.49% ( -0.3)	24.12% ( 0.04)	47.39% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 57.64% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.57% (

-0.37)

44.44% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.19% (

-0.36)

66.81% (

0.37)

Pontypridd Town AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.07% (

-0.4)

28.94% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.18% (

-0.5)

64.82% (

0.51)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.12% (

-0.04)

18.89% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.64% (

-0.06)

50.36% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Pontypridd Town AFC 28.49%

Pen-y-Bont 47.39%

Draw 24.12%

Pontypridd Town AFC	Draw	Pen-y-Bont
2-1 @ 7% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.46% Total : 28.49%	1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.12%	1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 5.23% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.18% 0-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.3% Total : 47.39%