MX23RW : Saturday, September 28 23:37:50| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 9
Apr 15, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
1 - 2
Pontypridd

Wynne (59')
Donohue (31'), Edwards (33'), Tibbetts (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Simpson (50' og.), Cummings (72')
Wright (31'), Cummings (39'), Rees (64'), Williams (72'), Davies (84'), Ahmun (90+5'), Ratcliffe (90')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Pontypridd United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Flint Town 0-0 Caernarfon
Saturday, April 8 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Haverfordwest 2-0 Pontypridd
Friday, April 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Pontypridd Town AFC in this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawPontypridd Town AFC
34.97% (0.079000000000001 0.08) 24.88% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03) 40.15% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 57.95% (0.12 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.68% (0.15 0.15)45.32% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.34% (0.143 0.14)67.66% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.76% (0.117 0.12)25.24% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.01% (0.158 0.16)59.99% (-0.153 -0.15)
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.51% (0.040999999999997 0.04)22.49% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.95% (0.061 0.06)56.05% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 34.97%
    Pontypridd Town AFC 40.15%
    Draw 24.88%
Caernarfon TownDrawPontypridd Town AFC
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.82% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.68% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.47% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 34.97%
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.68% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.88%
1-2 @ 8.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.47% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.32% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.98% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.11% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 40.15%

Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm
Pontypridd
1-0
Caernarfon
Margetson (39')
Lewis (87'), Cummings (90+2')

Donohue (45+1'), Edwards (90'), Hughes (90+2')
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Pontypridd
3-1
Caernarfon
Evans (37'), Wright (74'), Williams (90+5')
Thomas (60')
Gosset (31')
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Caernarfon
2-0
Pontypridd
Bradley (62'), Faux (65')
Cartwright (33'), Gosset (68')

Woodiwiss (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Rams
@
Bears
6pm
Eagles
@
Buccaneers
6pm
Steelers
@
Colts
6pm
Saints
@
Falcons
6pm
Broncos
@
Jets
6pm
Vikings
@
Packers
6pm
Bengals
@
Panthers
6pm
Jags
@
Texans
9.05pm
Patriots
@
49ers
9.05pm
Washington
@
Cardinals
9.25pm
Chiefs
@
Chargers
9.25pm
Browns
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!