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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7
Apr 1, 2023 at 5.15pm UK
Ynysangharad Park

Pontypridd
1 - 1
Aberystwyth

Davies (32')
Cummings (38'), Green (75'), Ratcliffe (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Turner (90+6')
Arnison (29'), Kirkman (68')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pontypridd United and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Airbus UK 0-3 Pontypridd
Saturday, March 25 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-0 Flint Town
Saturday, March 25 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 56.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 20.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
Pontypridd Town AFCDrawAberystwyth Town
56.03% (-0.327 -0.33) 23.14% (0.135 0.14) 20.83% (0.189 0.19)
Both teams to score 52.55% (-0.143 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.75% (-0.335 -0.34)47.25% (0.332 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.52% (-0.309 -0.31)69.48% (0.309 0.31)
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.32% (-0.23400000000001 -0.23)16.68% (0.233 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.45% (-0.419 -0.42)46.55% (0.418 0.42)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.07% (0.0019999999999953 0)36.93% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.29% (0.0040000000000013 0)73.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Pontypridd Town AFC 56.03%
    Aberystwyth Town 20.83%
    Draw 23.13%
Pontypridd Town AFCDrawAberystwyth Town
1-0 @ 11.03% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 9.88% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.9% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.88% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.64% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.63% (-0.045 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 56.03%
1-1 @ 10.98% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.085 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.13%
0-1 @ 6.14% (0.086 0.09)
1-2 @ 5.47% (0.034 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.06% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.82% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.02% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 20.83%

Head to Head
Nov 18, 2022 8pm
Aberystwyth
2-1
Pontypridd
Evans (4', 32')
Thorn (22')
Green (31')
Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm
Pontypridd
2-1
Aberystwyth
Jones (26'), Ahmun (75')
Green (58')
Darlington (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont17114234122237
2The New SaintsNew Saints16120445192636
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest178632081230
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU178452620628
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town1741032218422
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1742112035-1514
11Briton Ferry1632111932-1311
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1731131442-2810


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