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Bala Town logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
Jan 7, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Maes Tegid

Bala Town
3 - 0
Pontypridd

Venables (17'), Smith (49'), Nalatche Mendes (72')
Shannon (57'), Smith (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vincent (17')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Pontypridd United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bala Town

All competitions
Last Game: Pontypridd 2-1 Bala Town
Tuesday, January 3 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Pontypridd Town AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Pontypridd 2-1 Bala Town
Tuesday, January 3 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 69.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 11.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.69%) and 3-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Pontypridd Town AFC win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.

Result
Bala TownDrawPontypridd Town AFC
69.99% (0.021999999999991 0.02) 18.82% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 11.18% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 44.32% (-0.22 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.29% (-0.213 -0.21)46.71% (0.21 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.03% (-0.198 -0.2)68.97% (0.196 0.2)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.85% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)12.15% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.24% (-0.116 -0.12)37.76% (0.113 0.11)
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.44% (-0.22 -0.22)49.55% (0.216 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.65% (-0.154 -0.15)84.34% (0.151 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 69.99%
    Pontypridd Town AFC 11.18%
    Draw 18.82%
Bala TownDrawPontypridd Town AFC
2-0 @ 13.37% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
1-0 @ 12.69% (0.09 0.09)
3-0 @ 9.4% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.6% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 3.48% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 69.99%
1-1 @ 8.91% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 6.02% (0.053 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.3% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 18.82%
0-1 @ 4.23% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.13% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.48% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 11.18%

Head to Head
Jan 3, 2023 7.45pm
Pontypridd
2-1
Bala Town
Ahmun (13'), Bloom (35')
Knott (49')
Smith (26')
rhs 2.0
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