Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 10
Apr 22, 2023 at 12.45pm UK
Park Avenue Ground
Aberystwyth3 - 2Caernarfon
Arnison (39'), Cadwallader (55'), Flint (90+4')
Arnison (86'), Davies (90+3')
Arnison (86'), Davies (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Hughes (2'), Bell (45+1')
Bell (17'), Thomas (41'), Faux (90+2')
Bell (17'), Thomas (41'), Faux (90+2')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Caernarfon Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-1 Aberystwyth
Saturday, April 15 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, April 15 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
28
Last Game: Flint Town 2-3 Caernarfon
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
43
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberystwyth Town win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberystwyth Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
41.65% ( -0.01) | 24.4% ( 0) | 33.95% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.44% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
