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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 44.4%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 27.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.87%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 1-0 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Millwall |
27.37% ( 0.07) | 28.22% ( -0.02) | 44.4% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 44.56% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.96% ( 0.08) | 61.04% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.97% ( 0.06) | 81.02% ( -0.06) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.38% ( 0.1) | 38.62% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.64% ( 0.1) | 75.36% ( -0.1) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.6% ( 0.01) | 27.4% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.12% ( 0.02) | 62.88% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Millwall |
1-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.56% Total : 27.37% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.22% | 0-1 @ 13.69% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.87% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 44.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 16 |
2 | Sunderland | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 15 |
3 | Burnley | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
4 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
5 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
6 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 11 |
7 | Swansea CitySwansea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
8 | Watford | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
9 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Derby CountyDerby | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
12 | Middlesbrough | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
13 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
14 | Bristol City | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
17 | Hull City | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
19 | Millwall | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 5 |
20 | Coventry CityCoventry | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 5 |
21 | Preston North EndPreston | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 5 |
22 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
23 | Portsmouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 3 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 13 | -12 | 1 |
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