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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for Blackpool had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest Blackpool win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.
Result | ||
Blackpool | Draw | Millwall |
25.87% ( 0.02) | 25.72% ( 0.14) | 48.41% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 50.44% ( -0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.08% ( -0.53) | 52.91% ( 0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.48% ( -0.45) | 74.52% ( 0.45) |
Blackpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.57% ( -0.27) | 35.43% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.8% ( -0.28) | 72.19% ( 0.28) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.12% ( -0.29) | 21.87% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.88% ( -0.44) | 55.11% ( 0.44) |
Score Analysis |
Blackpool | Draw | Millwall |
1-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.34% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 25.87% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.71% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 4.54% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.27% Total : 48.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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