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Blackpool
Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 28, 2023 at 8pm UK
Bloomfield Road
Millwall logo

Blackpool
2 - 3
Millwall

Yates (36' pen.), Fiorini (67')
Fiorini (74'), Rogers (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bradshaw (2', 59'), Flemming (75' pen.)
Flemming (24'), Cooper (26'), Saville (32'), Bradshaw (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Blackpool and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Blackpool
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Wigan 2-1 Millwall
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackpool 0-1 Millwall

Blackpool recorded a much-needed win at Birmingham last time out but suffered more injury woes - their survival hopes are hanging by a thread despite winning two of their last three. Millwall will be fired up after back-to-back defeats and should be able to earn three points that will take their fight for a top-six finish to the final day of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for Blackpool had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest Blackpool win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
BlackpoolDrawMillwall
25.87% (0.02 0.02) 25.72% (0.136 0.14) 48.41% (-0.157 -0.16)
Both teams to score 50.44% (-0.396 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.08% (-0.527 -0.53)52.91% (0.525 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.48% (-0.451 -0.45)74.52% (0.45 0.45)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.57% (-0.268 -0.27)35.43% (0.266 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.8% (-0.281 -0.28)72.19% (0.279 0.28)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.12% (-0.29000000000001 -0.29)21.87% (0.287 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.88% (-0.439 -0.44)55.11% (0.436 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Blackpool 25.87%
    Millwall 48.4%
    Draw 25.72%
BlackpoolDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 8.04% (0.108 0.11)
2-1 @ 6.34% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.17% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.19% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 25.87%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.75% (0.159 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 11.77% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 9.29% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.95% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.71% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
0-3 @ 4.54% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.79% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.72% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 48.4%

How you voted: Blackpool vs Millwall

Blackpool
22.5%
Draw
21.3%
Millwall
56.3%
80
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
gameweek 11
Millwall
2-1
Blackpool
Grimshaw (14' og.), Afobe (63')
Cooper (7')
Patino (33')
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
gameweek 28
Blackpool
1-0
Millwall
Lavery (55')
Garbutt (40')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
gameweek 5
Millwall
2-1
Blackpool
Wallace (63'), Cooper (90')
Mitchell (50'), Saville (62'), Malone (69'), Kieftenbeld (74')
Lavery (56')
Dougall (28'), Yates (62'), Anderson (74')
Connolly (14')
Mar 5, 2016 3pm
Millwall
3-0
Blackpool
Gregory (8'), Wallace (24'), Morison (84' pen.)
Thompson (40'), Beevers (79'), Upson (81')

Ikpeazu (36'), Herron (45'), White (56')
White (76')
Oct 20, 2015 7.45pm
Blackpool
1-1
Millwall
Redshaw (82' pen.)
Beevers (35')
Martin (39'), Williams (42'), Ferguson (61'), Thompson (79'), Archer (82')
Edwards (81')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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