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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 4, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Millwall logo

Swansea
0 - 1
Millwall


Abdulai (90')
Tanganga (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
De Norre (72')
Cooper (65'), McNamara (90')
Yates (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 2-2 Swansea
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Plymouth
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Millwall

Both sides will head into the final day with plenty of confidence thanks to their recent improvements, and the desire to end on a win and wrap up 13th spot, and we cannot quite pick a winner as a result, instead opting for a low-scoring draw between two in-form teams. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 52.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 22.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawMillwall
52.26% (-1.018 -1.02) 25.2% (0.316 0.32) 22.53% (0.7 0.7)
Both teams to score 48.58% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.34% (-0.519 -0.52)53.66% (0.516 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.84% (-0.44 -0.44)75.15% (0.43600000000001 0.44)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (-0.62 -0.62)20.54% (0.617 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.95% (-0.988 -0.99)53.04% (0.986 0.99)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.14% (0.40000000000001 0.4)38.86% (-0.403 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.41% (0.375 0.38)75.59% (-0.378 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 52.26%
    Millwall 22.53%
    Draw 25.2%
Swansea CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.63% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 10% (-0.181 -0.18)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.28% (-0.199 -0.2)
3-1 @ 4.99% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.09% (-0.121 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 52.26%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 7.98% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.47% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 7.54% (0.232 0.23)
1-2 @ 5.64% (0.128 0.13)
0-2 @ 3.57% (0.147 0.15)
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 22.53%

How you voted: Swansea vs Millwall

Swansea City
47.1%
Draw
23.5%
Millwall
29.4%
17
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Millwall
0-3
Swansea

Cooper (22'), Longman (45+3')
Lowe (23' pen.), Grimes (57'), Kukharevych (79')
Rushworth (66'), Cabango (73')
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Millwall
2-1
Swansea
Bradshaw (48'), Voglsammer (55')
Manning (58')
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Swansea
2-2
Millwall
Manning (1'), Obafemi (12')
Manning (73'), Obafemi (90+1')
Cabango (90+3' og.), Wood (90+5' og.)
Burey (39'), Mitchell (42'), Malone (65')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Millwall
0-1
Swansea

Ballard (82')
Piroe (46')
Grimes (22'), Latibeaudiere (49')
Sep 15, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Swansea
0-0
Millwall
Bennett (37'), Downes (83')
Bradshaw (61'), Wallace (77'), Saville (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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