Connah's Quay

3 - 0

Aberystwyth

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 77.94%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 7.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.46%) and 1-0 (11.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.