Welsh Premier League
May 11, 2024 at 12.20pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park
Newtown0 - 5Pen-y-Bont
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Pen-y-Bont.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cardiff MU 1-3 Newtown
Sunday, April 21 at 2.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Sunday, April 21 at 2.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 1-0 Haverfordwest
Sunday, April 21 at 2.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Sunday, April 21 at 2.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
46
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 53.64%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 23.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.75%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 2-1 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.
Result | ||
Newtown AFC | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
23.28% ( -0.11) | 23.07% ( 0.11) | 53.64% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 56.11% ( -0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.86% ( -0.61) | 44.13% ( 0.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.48% ( -0.6) | 66.51% ( 0.6) |
Newtown AFC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.12% ( -0.44) | 32.87% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.55% ( -0.49) | 69.44% ( 0.48) |
Pen-y-Bont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.59% ( -0.22) | 16.4% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.94% ( -0.4) | 46.06% ( 0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Newtown AFC 23.28%
Pen-y-Bont 53.64%
Draw 23.07%
Newtown AFC | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
2-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 23.28% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.07% | 1-2 @ 9.8% 0-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 8.81% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 5.91% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 5.31% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.67% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.26% Total : 53.64% |
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2023 2.30pm
Aug 12, 2023 2.30pm
Apr 22, 2023 12.45pm
Mar 18, 2023 2.30pm
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 12 | 23 | 40 |
2 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 50 | 22 | 28 | 39 |
3 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 31 |
4 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Bala TownBala Town | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 28 |
6 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 28 |
7 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 28 |
8 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 19 |
10 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 17 |
11 | Briton Ferry | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
12 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 17 | 46 | -29 | 13 |
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