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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 10
Apr 21, 2024 at 2.15pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch
Newtown logo

Cardiff MU
1 - 3
Newtown

Jones (70')
Cadwallader (19'), Jones (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Smith (14'), Williams (20'), Roberts (52')
Sutton (90')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff MU 0-5 New Saints
Saturday, April 13 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 5-0 Caernarfon
Saturday, April 13 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 2-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawNewtown AFC
26.67% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 23.84% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 49.5% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Both teams to score 57.15% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.58% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)44.42% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.2% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)66.79% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.73% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)30.27% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.56% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)66.44% (0.063999999999993 0.06)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.95% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)18.04% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.06% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)48.94% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 26.67%
    Newtown AFC 49.5%
    Draw 23.83%
Cardiff MUDrawNewtown AFC
2-1 @ 6.68% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 6.53% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.9%
3-1 @ 2.66% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.55% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 26.67%
1-1 @ 11.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.46% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.83%
1-2 @ 9.57% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-1 @ 9.35% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.01% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.57% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 3.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.96% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.4% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 49.5%

Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Newtown
2-0
Cardiff MU
Mwandwe (49'), Smith (74')
Robles (15'), Mwandwe (35'), Evans (79')

Clubb (14'), Skiverton (31'), Cadwallader (42')
Oct 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Cardiff MU
2-1
Newtown
Clubb (50'), H (90+1')
Craven (22')
Williams (53')
Sears (43'), Smith (45+2'), Roberts (89'), Hughes (90+7')
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Newtown
2-1
Cardiff MU
Sears (17'), Williams (31')
Cowans (84'), Roberts (89')
Craven (42')
Clubb (88'), McCarthy (90+3')
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Newtown
1-2
Cardiff MU
Jones (49')
Jones (54'), Evans (80' pen.)
Mar 10, 2023 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont17114234122237
2The New SaintsNew Saints16120445192636
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest178632081230
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU178452620628
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town1741032218422
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1742112035-1514
11Briton Ferry1632111932-1311
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1731131442-2810


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