MX23RW : Friday, November 22 06:58:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 9
Apr 15, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
1 - 2
Cardiff MU

Jones (49')
Sears (80'), Hughes (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jones (54'), Evans (80' pen.)
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Cardiff MU.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bala Town 1-2 Newtown
Friday, April 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff MU 0-2 Connah's Quay
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawCardiff MU
33.45% (-0.313 -0.31) 25.44% (0.047000000000001 0.05) 41.11% (0.266 0.27)
Both teams to score 55.67% (-0.237 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.88% (-0.272 -0.27)48.12% (0.272 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.72% (-0.251 -0.25)70.28% (0.252 0.25)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.52% (-0.321 -0.32)27.48% (0.322 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.03% (-0.419 -0.42)62.97% (0.419 0.42)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.76% (0.012 0.01)23.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.85% (0.018999999999998 0.02)57.15% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 33.45%
    Cardiff MU 41.11%
    Draw 25.43%
Newtown AFCDrawCardiff MU
1-0 @ 8.25% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.78% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.33% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.35% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.29% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 33.45%
1-1 @ 12.03% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.39% (0.072 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 9.32% (0.108 0.11)
1-2 @ 8.78% (0.026000000000002 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.8% (0.081 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.27% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.31% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.21% (0.015 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 41.11%

Head to Head
Mar 10, 2023 7.45pm
Cardiff MU
0-0
Newtown

Clubb (80'), Baker (86')

Taylor (23'), Cowans (67'), Williams (78')
Dec 22, 2022 7.45pm
Cardiff MU
2-1
Newtown
Evans (2'), Roberts (72')
Chubb (20' og.)
Taylor (16')
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Feb 19, 2022 2.30pm
Newtown
0-0
Cardiff MU

Taylor (71'), Hughes (82')

Baker (66'), Craven (69'), Chubb (87'), Lewis (90')
Feb 12, 2022 2.30pm
Cardiff MU
1-1
Newtown
Jones (17')
Chubb (63'), Craven (71'), Baker (78')
Hearsey (90+4')
Mwandwe (29'), Williams (45+1'), Jones (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1611413292337
2The New SaintsNew Saints15110442172533
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest168532081229
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU167452320325
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town164932218421
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Briton Ferry1532101830-1211
11Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1632111834-1611
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1631121439-2510


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