MX23RW : Monday, September 30 02:02:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Mar 18, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
0 - 1
Pen-y-Bont


Roberts (63'), Walker (77'), Ismail (87'), Hughes (90+3')
Roberts (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Owen (59')
Harling (51')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 0-0 Newtown
Friday, March 10 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 1-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, March 11 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawPen-y-Bont
37.17% (-1.094 -1.09) 26.67% (0.275 0.27) 36.15% (0.817 0.82)
Both teams to score 51.97% (-0.852 -0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.96% (-1.106 -1.11)53.03% (1.102 1.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.37% (-0.948 -0.95)74.62% (0.946 0.95)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.39% (-1.144 -1.14)27.6% (1.141 1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.86% (-1.495 -1.5)63.13% (1.492 1.49)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.79% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)28.2% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.09% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)63.9% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 37.17%
    Pen-y-Bont 36.15%
    Draw 26.67%
Newtown AFCDrawPen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 10.02% (0.112 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.16% (-0.182 -0.18)
2-0 @ 6.45% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-1 @ 3.5% (-0.196 -0.2)
3-0 @ 2.77% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.126 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 37.17%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 7.79% (0.332 0.33)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 9.85% (0.411 0.41)
1-2 @ 8.03% (0.073 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.24% (0.253 0.25)
1-3 @ 3.39% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.63% (0.104 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 36.15%

Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Pen-y-Bont
3-0
Newtown
Georgievsky (17'), Reynolds (41'), Wood (44')

Rushton (3')
Sep 17, 2022 5.15pm
Newtown
2-3
Pen-y-Bont
Williams (58', 66')
Hughes (21')
Whitmore (33'), D. Wood (45+3' pen.), Snaith (64')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Pen-y-Bont
0-2
Newtown

Harling (29'), Borge (40'), Whitmore (59'), Owen (63'), Snaith (90+2')
Williams (41'), Mwandwe (61')
Taylor (23'), Arsan (29')
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
Newtown
1-2
Pen-y-Bont
Mwandwe (3')
Roberts (56'), Ismail (82'), Walker (89'), Mwandwe (90')
MacDonald (15'), Snaith (54')
Davies (30'), (90+1')
Oct 9, 2021 2.30pm
Newtown
3-1
Pen-y-Bont
Williams (17' pen.), Rushton (39', 74')
Roberts (41'), Mwandwe (45'), Rushton (58'), (79'), (84')
Watts (68')
D. Wood (38'), Harling (41'), Davies (43'), Jefferies (73')
rhs 2.0
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