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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 23, 2024 at 8pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
1 - 0
Barry

Evans (33')
Lewis (45+1'), Owen (50'), Flint (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Schwank (90+6')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Barry Town United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-1 Connah's Quay
Friday, August 16 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League

Barry Town United

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff MU 1-1 Barry
Friday, August 16 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 37.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawBarry Town United
37.32% (0.098000000000006 0.1) 25.2% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 37.47% (-0.143 -0.14)
Both teams to score 57.04% (-0.149 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.4% (-0.193 -0.19)46.59% (0.19 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.13% (-0.18 -0.18)68.86% (0.17699999999999 0.18)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.48% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)24.51% (0.032999999999998 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.01% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)58.98% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.56% (-0.16499999999999 -0.16)24.44% (0.162 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.13% (-0.23 -0.23)58.87% (0.228 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 37.32%
    Barry Town United 37.47%
    Draw 25.2%
Aberystwyth TownDrawBarry Town United
1-0 @ 8.42% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.34% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.92% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.77% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 37.32%
1-1 @ 11.86% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.99% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 8.44% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.36% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.95% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.93% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.79% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 37.47%

Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Barry
2-1
Aberystwyth
Snaith (11'), Hulbert (83')
McDonald (61')
Kirkman (63')
Davies (30'), Hinds (37')
Mar 2, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Aberystwyth
1-1
Barry
Woollam (11')
Lewis (87'), Canavan (90'), Thorn (90')
Patten (20' pen.)
Patten (53')
Jan 13, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 22
Aberystwyth
2-4
Barry
Owen (2'), Evans (90+1')
Hartley (75'), Thorn (82')
Snaith (46'), Tomlinson (48'), McLaggon (75'), Hulbert (80')
Lewis (1'), Blythe (56'), Davies (61')
Nov 4, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Barry
0-1
Aberystwyth

Hulbert (26'), Veale (64'), Blythe (69'), Cotterill (82')
Press (51')
Cadwallader (90+1')
Bradford (36')
Apr 18, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 9
Barry
0-1
Aberystwyth

Cotterill (41'), Green (42'), Abbruzzese (69')
Cotterill (88')
Davies (4')
Owen (43'), Veale (43')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
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2The New SaintsNew Saints16120445192636
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest178632081230
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU178452620628
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town1741032218422
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> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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