MX23RW : Friday, November 22 06:56:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 19
Dec 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Park Hall Stadium

New Saints
3 - 0
Pen-y-Bont

Williams (1'), Pask (81'), McManus (88')
Redmond (36'), Baker (60'), Davies (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brown (45+1'), Reffell (61'), Davies (70')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-3 New Saints
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 0-2 Bala Town
Saturday, December 2 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 71.6%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 12.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 3-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.7%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-2 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New SaintsDrawPen-y-Bont
71.6% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22) 15.72% (0.072000000000001 0.07) 12.68% (0.15 0.15)
Both teams to score 61.3% (0.212 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.48% (0.042000000000002 0.04)27.52% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.86% (0.052 0.05)48.14% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.21% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)6.79% (0.03 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.94% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)25.06% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.76% (0.248 0.25)34.24% (-0.248 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.07% (0.263 0.26)70.93% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    The New Saints 71.6%
    Pen-y-Bont 12.68%
    Draw 15.72%
The New SaintsDrawPen-y-Bont
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.41% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 8.08% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.54% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-0 @ 6.25% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 5.43% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.07% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4.33% (0.025 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.92% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.91% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.73% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
6-1 @ 1.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.22% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.04% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 71.6%
1-1 @ 6.7% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.83% (0.036 0.04)
0-0 @ 2.33% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 15.72%
1-2 @ 3.59% (0.033 0.03)
0-1 @ 2.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.34% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.28% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 12.68%

Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Pen-y-Bont
1-4
New Saints
Venables (8')
Venables (34'), Harling (60'), Kircough (90+1')
Yorwerth (28')
Young (51', 57'), Brobbel (67', 83')
Williams (34')
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Pen-y-Bont
2-5
New Saints
Reffell (55'), Wood (85')
McManus (31', 72'), Redmond (39'), Baker (71'), Davies (80')
Feb 25, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 3
New Saints
1-1
Pen-y-Bont
Smith (18')
Wood (81' pen.)
Nov 19, 2022 5.15pm
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
New Saints
1-0
Pen-y-Bont
Brobbel (90+1')
Redmond (56')

Owen (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1611413292337
2The New SaintsNew Saints15110442172533
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest168532081229
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU167452320325
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town164932218421
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Briton Ferry1532101830-1211
11Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1632111834-1611
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1631121439-2510


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