Scottish Challenge Cup | Quarter-Finals
Nov 18, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Park Hall Stadium
New Saints4 - 1Arbroath
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Quarter-Finals clash between The New Saints and Arbroath.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newtown 0-2 New Saints
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
53
Last Game: Airdrieonians 2-0 Arbroath
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 80.73%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 6.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.77%), while for an Arbroath win it was 1-2 (2.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Arbroath |
80.73% ( -0.06) | 12.38% ( 0.15) | 6.89% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 49.53% ( -1.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.94% ( -1.31) | 30.06% ( 1.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.73% ( -1.6) | 51.27% ( 1.6) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.31% ( -0.27) | 5.69% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 78.01% ( -0.78) | 21.99% ( 0.78) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.51% ( -1.29) | 47.49% ( 1.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.15% ( -0.98) | 82.85% ( 0.98) |
| Score Analysis |
The New Saints 80.72%
Arbroath 6.89%
Draw 12.38%
| The New Saints | Draw | Arbroath |
| 2-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.46) 3-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.27)2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.44)4-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.16)5-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.14)6-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.05)6-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.1)5-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.1)Other @ 4.36% Total : 80.72% | 1-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.2)Other @ 0.84% Total : 12.38% | 1-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.73% Total : 6.89% |
Form Guide
