Scottish Championship | Gameweek 12

Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

Gayfield Park

Arbroath
1 - 3
Partick

Hylton (87')
Bird (38'), Little (57')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Fitzpatrick (23', 61'), Graham (74')
Stanway (85')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Arbroath and Partick Thistle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Dundee Utd 6-0 Arbroath
Friday, October 27 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Partick Thistle

All competitions

Last Game: Partick 2-2 Ayr
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.

Result
Arbroath	Draw	Partick Thistle
36.06% ( -0.54)	24.81% ( 0.14)	39.13% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 58.39% (

-0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.18% (

-0.7)

44.82% (

0.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.82% (

-0.68)

67.18% (

0.67)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.6% (

-0.62)

24.39% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.19% (

-0.88)

58.81% (

0.87)

Partick Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.22% (

-0.11)

22.77% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.53% (

-0.16)

56.47% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Arbroath 36.06%

Partick Thistle 39.13%

Draw 24.8%

Arbroath	Draw	Partick Thistle
2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.94% Total : 36.06%	1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.8%	1-2 @ 8.58% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.57% 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.26% Total : 39.13%