Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.