MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 20:08:24| >> :60:88:88:
Queen of the South
Scottish Challenge Cup | Fourth Round
Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Palmerston Park
Arbroath

QotS
1 - 2
Arbroath

Doherty (12')
McKay (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bird (54'), McKenna (90')
McKenna (48'), Dunnwald (71')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Fourth Round clash between Queen of the South and Arbroath.

Form, Standings, Stats

Queen of the South

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: QotS 0-1 Stirling
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Arbroath

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Arbroath 2-3 Inverness
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Queen of the SouthDrawArbroath
44.33% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 24.78% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 30.89% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.88% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.9% (-0.002999999999993 -0)46.1% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)68.4% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Queen of the South Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.14% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)20.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.45% (0.011000000000003 0.01)53.55% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.87% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)28.13% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.19% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)63.81% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Queen of the South 44.33%
    Arbroath 30.89%
    Draw 24.78%
Queen of the SouthDrawArbroath
1-0 @ 9.2% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 7.21% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.03%
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 44.33%
1-1 @ 11.66%
0-0 @ 5.87% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.78%
0-1 @ 7.44% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 7.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 30.89%

Head to Head
Apr 16, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 34
Arbroath
5-1
QotS
Hamilton (25'), Hamilton (37', 59'), Cameron (54' og.), Craigen (90')
Hamilton (22'), O'Brien (73')
Roy (12')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
QotS
0-0
Arbroath
Hamilton (76')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Arbroath
1-1
QotS
McKenna (67')
Donnelly (40')
Cameron (55')
Cameron (69'), Gibson (77'), Roy (87')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 6
QotS
0-2
Arbroath

Paton (6')
O'Brien (16'), Nouble (79')
O'Brien (74')
Gold (57')
> Match Report
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 19
Arbroath
2-4
QotS
Hamilton (11'), McKenna (22' pen.)
Linn (19'), Hamilton (32'), Little (80')
Obileye (33', 50'), Shields (38'), Mebude (45+1')
Gibson (83')
> Match Report
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