Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
45.14% ( -0.02) | 25.11% ( 0.01) | 29.75% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 55.16% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.94% ( -0.04) | 48.06% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.77% ( -0.04) | 70.23% ( 0.03) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.69% ( -0.03) | 21.31% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.74% ( -0.04) | 54.25% ( 0.03) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.1% ( -0.01) | 29.89% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.01% ( -0.01) | 65.99% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 45.14% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.18% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.64% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.89% 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 29.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 29 |
2 | Livingston | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 23 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 21 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 19 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 19 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 14 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 10 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 5 |
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