Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Queen's Park |
39.91% ( -0.55) | 25.84% ( -0.33) | 34.25% ( 0.89) |
Both teams to score 54.51% ( 1.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.3% ( 1.59) | 49.71% ( -1.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.28% ( 1.41) | 71.72% ( -1.4) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.45% ( 0.43) | 24.55% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.97% ( 0.6) | 59.03% ( -0.59) |
Queen's Park Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.25% ( 1.34) | 27.76% ( -1.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.67% ( 1.68) | 63.33% ( -1.67) |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Queen's Park |
1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.5) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.82% Total : 39.91% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.87% Total : 34.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 29 |
2 | Livingston | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 23 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 21 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 19 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 19 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 14 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 10 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |