Scottish Championship | Gameweek 33

Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK

Stark's Park

Raith Rovers
1 - 1
Arbroath

Brown (3')
McGill (70'), Connolly (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

O'Brien (48')
Tait (50'), McKenna (64')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Raith Rovers and Arbroath.

Form, Standings, Stats

Raith Rovers

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Dundee 3-1 Raith Rovers
Tuesday, April 11 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Arbroath

All competitions

Last Game: Inverness 2-0 Arbroath
Tuesday, April 11 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 50.36%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Raith Rovers	Draw	Arbroath
50.36% ( 0.16)	23.95% ( -0.04)	25.69% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 55.87% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.3% (

0.1)

45.69% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.98% (

0.09)

68.01% (

-0.09)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.8% (

0.1)

18.19% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.8% (

0.17)

49.19% (

-0.17)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.29% (

-0.04)

31.7% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.87% (

-0.05)

68.12% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Raith Rovers 50.36%

Arbroath 25.69%

Draw 23.95%

Raith Rovers	Draw	Arbroath
1-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 50.36%	1-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.95%	0-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 25.69%