Scottish Challenge Cup | Final

Mar 26, 2023 at 4.15pm UK

Stark's Park

Raith Rovers
0 - 1
Hamilton

Spencer (28'), Lang (45+6')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Tumilty (30')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Final clash between Raith Rovers and Hamilton Academical.

Form, Standings, Stats

Raith Rovers

All competitions

Scottish Challenge Cup

Last Game: Raith Rovers 6-1 Cove Rangers
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Hamilton Academical

All competitions

Scottish Challenge Cup

Last Game: Hamilton 0-2 Ayr
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 48.13%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Raith Rovers	Draw	Hamilton Academical
48.13%	24.25%	27.61%

Both teams to score 56.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.41%

45.58%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.09%

67.91%

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.96%

19.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.39%

50.61%

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.83%

30.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.68%

66.32%

Score Analysis

Raith Rovers 48.13%

Hamilton Academical 27.61%

Draw 24.25%

Raith Rovers	Draw	Hamilton Academical
1-0 @ 9.53% 2-1 @ 9.47% 2-0 @ 7.9% 3-1 @ 5.24% 3-0 @ 4.37% 3-2 @ 3.14% 4-1 @ 2.17% 4-0 @ 1.81% 4-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.21% Total : 48.13%	1-1 @ 11.41% 0-0 @ 5.74% 2-2 @ 5.67% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.25%	0-1 @ 6.88% 1-2 @ 6.84% 0-2 @ 4.12% 1-3 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 2.27% 0-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 3.12% Total : 27.61%