Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 51.26%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 25.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.