Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 53.1%. A win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 23.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Partick Thistle win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.