Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Ayr United |
38.63% ( -0.09) | 24.7% ( 0.1) | 36.67% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 58.83% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.72% ( -0.48) | 44.28% ( 0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.35% ( -0.47) | 66.65% ( 0.47) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.21% ( -0.26) | 22.79% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.51% ( -0.39) | 56.49% ( 0.39) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.19% ( -0.23) | 23.82% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.02% ( -0.32) | 57.99% ( 0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Ayr United |
2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 38.63% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.7% | 1-2 @ 8.26% 0-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.06% Total : 36.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 29 |
2 | Livingston | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 23 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 21 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 19 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 19 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 14 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 10 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |