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Airdrieonians
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Falkirk
Greenock Morton
Hamilton logo
Livingston logo
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Hamilton logo
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 29
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
New Douglas Park
Ayr United

Hamilton
0 - 2
Ayr

FT(HT: 0-2)
Dempsey (12' pen.), Ashford (27')
McAlear (30'), McAllister (45')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Hamilton Academical and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Falkirk 2-1 Ayr
Monday, March 13 at 7.45pm in Scottish Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Hamilton AcademicalDrawAyr United
38.63% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09) 24.7% (0.102 0.1) 36.67% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.83% (-0.374 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.72% (-0.481 -0.48)44.28% (0.482 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.35% (-0.47 -0.47)66.65% (0.47 0.47)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.21% (-0.261 -0.26)22.79% (0.261 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.51% (-0.387 -0.39)56.49% (0.38500000000001 0.39)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.19% (-0.226 -0.23)23.82% (0.226 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.02% (-0.323 -0.32)57.99% (0.324 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Hamilton Academical 38.63%
    Ayr United 36.67%
    Draw 24.7%
Hamilton AcademicalDrawAyr United
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.03% (0.105 0.11)
2-0 @ 5.94% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.2% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.93% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 38.63%
1-1 @ 11.51% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.11% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.43% (0.113 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.7%
1-2 @ 8.26%
0-1 @ 7.79% (0.111 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.59% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.95% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.92% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 36.67%

Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Nov 11, 2022 7.45pm
Hamilton
2-3
Ayr
Lawson (50' pen.), Ecrepont (80' og.)
Akinyemi (4', 69'), Dempsey (83' pen.)
Murdoch (10')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Ayr
2-2
Hamilton
Akinyemi (3'), Murdoch (85')
Murdoch (66')
Winter (14'), O'Reilly (73')
O'Reilly (68')
Apr 1, 2022 7.45pm
Ayr
1-1
Hamilton
McInroy (90+4')
McGinty (61'), Bryden (61')
Winter (6')
Moyo (61'), O'Reilly (71'), Lawson (76'), Ryan (90+5')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Hamilton
1-1
Ayr
Kennedy (7')
O'Reilly (70'), Martin (81')
Ashford (66')
Murdoch (70'), McGinty (81'), Muirhead (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FalkirkFalkirk129212581729
2Livingston12651159623
3Ayr UnitedAyr126331811721
4Partick ThistlePartick12543117419
5Queen's ParkQueen's Park125431211119
6Hamilton AcademicalHamilton124351717015
7Raith Rovers124261014-414
8Greenock MortonMorton12246716-910
9Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline12237913-49
10AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians12129624-185


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