Falkirk2 - 1Ayr
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in Scottish League One
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
for
We said: Falkirk 2-1 Ayr United
Despite the difference in divisions, this feels like a 50-50 tie when you consider the nerves and tensions which will be on show. Although Ayr arguably have the superior quality, we are backing Falkirk to use home advantage in their favour and secure a narrow victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 62.99%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 15.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Falkirk in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Falkirk.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Ayr United |
62.99% ( 0.05) | 21.04% ( -0.02) | 15.98% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.34% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.31% ( 0.02) | 45.69% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.99% ( 0.02) | 68.01% ( -0.02) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.12% ( 0.02) | 13.88% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.72% ( 0.04) | 41.28% ( -0.04) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.45% ( -0.03) | 41.55% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.96% ( -0.03) | 78.04% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 11.38% 2-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.5% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.21% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.44% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 62.98% | 1-1 @ 10% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0)Other @ 0.93% Total : 21.04% | 0-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 1.74% Total : 15.98% |
