Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Indodrill Stadium
Alloa1 - 2Falkirk
Coverage of the Scottish Cup Fourth Round clash between Alloa Athletic and Falkirk.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Alloa 2-1 Edinburgh
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Falkirk 4-0 Clyde
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Falkirk |
41.48% ( 0.06) | 24.31% ( 0) | 34.21% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 59.82% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.19% ( -0.04) | 42.8% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.79% ( -0.04) | 65.21% ( 0.04) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.22% ( 0.01) | 20.77% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.58% ( 0.01) | 53.41% ( -0.02) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.5% ( -0.06) | 24.49% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.04% ( -0.09) | 58.95% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic 41.48%
Falkirk 34.21%
Draw 24.3%
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Falkirk |
| 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.79% Total : 41.48% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.3% | 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.16% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.21% |
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
