Scottish League One | Gameweek 21

Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK

Falkirk Stadium

Falkirk
2 - 1
Montrose

Nesbitt (32', 47')
Morrison (45'), Donaldson (50'), Henderson (53'), Mackie (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Waddell (90+5')
Waddell (22'), Steeves (48'), Gardyne (87')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Falkirk and Montrose.

Form, Standings, Stats

Falkirk

All competitions

Scottish League One

Last Game: Falkirk 5-2 QotS
Friday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Montrose

All competitions

Scottish League One

Last Game: Peterhead 0-0 Montrose
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 50.58%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Falkirk in this match.

Result
Falkirk	Draw	Montrose
50.58% ( -4.21)	23.58% ( 1.42)	25.84% ( 2.79)

Both teams to score 57.25% (

-1.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.06% (

-3.71)

43.94% (

3.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.67% (

-3.73)

66.32% (

3.72)

Falkirk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.55% (

-2.8)

17.45% (

2.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.09% (

-5.13)

47.91% (

5.13)

Montrose Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.35% (

0.27)

30.65% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.1% (

0.32)

66.89% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Falkirk 50.58%

Montrose 25.84%

Draw 23.58%

Falkirk	Draw	Montrose
2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.64) 2-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.67) 3-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.61) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.37) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.57) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.5) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.32) Other @ 3.81% Total : 50.58%	1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.83) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.82) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.58%	1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.54) 0-1 @ 6.32% ( 1.01) 0-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.62) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.25) Other @ 2.96% Total : 25.84%