Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.