Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Falkirk |
44.67% ( -0.29) | 25.79% ( 0.14) | 29.54% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 52.86% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.98% ( -0.48) | 51.02% ( 0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.12% ( -0.42) | 72.88% ( 0.43) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.23% ( -0.34) | 22.78% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.53% ( -0.5) | 56.47% ( 0.52) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.45% ( -0.13) | 31.56% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.05% ( -0.15) | 67.96% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Falkirk |
1-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.12% Total : 44.67% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.83% Total : 29.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
7 | Montrose | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 17 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 0 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |