Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 51.28%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 23.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for an Airdrieonians win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Airdrieonians |
51.28% ( 0.84) | 24.96% ( -0.06) | 23.76% ( -0.78) |
Both teams to score 50.68% ( -0.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.4% ( -0.43) | 51.6% ( 0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.61% ( -0.37) | 73.39% ( 0.37) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.88% ( 0.18) | 20.12% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.62% ( 0.28) | 52.38% ( -0.28) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.44% ( -0.93) | 36.56% ( 0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.65% ( -0.95) | 73.35% ( 0.95) |
Score Analysis |
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Airdrieonians |
1-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 51.27% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.95% | 0-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.8% Total : 23.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
7 | Montrose | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 17 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 0 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |