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Dundee logo
Scottish Challenge Cup | Quarter-Finals
Jan 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Dunfermline Athletic

Dundee
4 - 2
Dunfermline

McMullan (29'), Robertson (59'), McCowan (83'), Anderson (90+1')
Thomas (50')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McCann (38'), Wighton (90+3')
MacDonald (27'), O'Hara (29')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Quarter-Finals clash between Dundee and Dunfermline Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.

Result
DundeeDrawDunfermline Athletic
43.67% (1.024 1.02) 25.98% (-0.743 -0.74) 30.34% (-0.285 -0.29)
Both teams to score 52.66% (2.162 2.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.54% (2.851 2.85)51.46% (-2.855 -2.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.73% (2.432 2.43)73.27% (-2.436 -2.44)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.56% (1.77 1.77)23.44% (-1.773 -1.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.55% (2.504 2.5)57.45% (-2.507 -2.51)
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.79% (1.262 1.26)31.21% (-1.265 -1.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.45% (1.445 1.45)67.55% (-1.447 -1.45)
Score Analysis
    Dundee 43.67%
    Dunfermline Athletic 30.34%
    Draw 25.97%
DundeeDrawDunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 10.61% (-0.67 -0.67)
2-1 @ 8.96% (0.223 0.22)
2-0 @ 7.7% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.32 0.32)
3-0 @ 3.72% (0.153 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.266 0.27)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.189 0.19)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.121 0.12)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.137 0.14)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 43.67%
1-1 @ 12.35% (-0.33 -0.33)
0-0 @ 7.32% (-0.873 -0.87)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.303 0.3)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.134 0.13)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 8.52% (-0.69 -0.69)
1-2 @ 7.2% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.96% (-0.219 -0.22)
1-3 @ 2.79% (0.118 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.183 0.18)
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 30.34%

How you voted: Dundee vs Dunfermline

Dundee
52.9%
Draw
41.2%
Dunfermline Athletic
5.9%
17
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2021 6pm
Mar 27, 2021 7.20pm
Dundee
3-2
Dunfermline
Cummings (30'), Mullen (54'), Ashcroft (56')
Marshall (79'), Anderson (83')
O'Hara (3'), Wighton (6')
Dec 19, 2020 3pm
Dundee
3-3
Dunfermline
Adam (35'), Sow (50'), Fontaine (70')
Watson (78'), McManus (82' pen., 90+3')
Wilson (69'), Whittaker (75')
Mar 14, 2020 3pm
Jan 24, 2020 7.05pm
Dunfermline
2-0
Dundee
Dow (28'), Nisbet (40')
McGill (38'), Paton (53')

Callachan (46'), Crankshaw (84')
rhs 2.0
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